If you look at a dozen polls, you will find a dozen very disparate results. For all it's scientific and statistical and analytic efforts, the art of polling is — because it deals with human behavior, after all — a most imprecise science.
The only "poll" that reality matters is the one on Election Day.
I think the pubics will take the senate this year. There are more asses than elephants up for election; the electorate is convinced that the asses are asses because Congress has stymied every effort on the part of the asses to get things done. Meanwhile the right stream media control the air waves and the pubics are just protecting democracy from out of control tyranny that's too incompetent to be believed.
_________________________ MACTECHubi dolor ibi digitus
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