i predicted kerry would win with 310 of the electoral votes. electoral-vote.com now is showing their regular electoral map, which kerry is winning handily, but they also have a new prediction map and the criteria for the prediction is explained. <a href="http://www.electoral-vote.com/pred/">link here</a><br><br>the biggie in his equation is that, "The undecideds will break 2:1 for the challenger (Kerry)." this based on studies from 1970 - 2000 and also a larger study going back even more. i had read something about this some time ago, so that was largely the catalyst for my prediction. electoral-vote.com has kerry winning with 311. he's pretty close to my expert opinion. <br><br><br>--<br>one of the penalties for refusing to participate in politics is that you end up being governed by your inferiors. -Plato

One thing their rationale doesn't seem to take into account is new voter registration, which I understand is up dramatically. These new voters aren't being polled so they could make a dramatic swing either way on election day. <br><br>

Well, that's if thesee newly registered voters are able to rise from the dead or put down the crack pipe long enough to vote. <br><br>

Well I hear that Mary Poppins is a registered democrat<br><br>

I think the turn out is going to extremely high this year especially the black vote.<br><br>"There's no substitute for the TRUTH....because the TRUTH needs no PROOF..."<br>

That wouldn't be surprising. Both Mary herself and Julie Andrews are very intelligent women.<br><br>

<blockquote><font size=1>In reply to:</font><hr><p>Both Mary herself and Julie Andrews are very intelligent women.<br><p><hr></blockquote><p>But, alas, they are British, so no vote. <br><br>

True dat. <br><br>