While many of the 'Climate Models' were beginning to factor-in the amount of fresh water entering the North Atlantic due to the projected melting of The Greenland Ice Sheets, they weren't prepared for the event of the relatively rapid melting of the Polar Arctic Icecap.
BTW They were also expecting a dramatic shift of the Jet-Stream that mitigated the day to day weather, they were caught off-guard that it would effect the weather as rapidly and dramatically as it has.
That's my whole point, it's all just a big guess as to what Mother Nature is going to throw at us next. We give our puny selves too much credit for being able to influence such strong forces IMO.
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