"I'd like to see if this is true, it would sure take the wind out of the doom and gloomers sails."

Isn't it better to err on the side of caution. Doom and gloom might get people who can do something acting on it. Saying it's all just cycles won't. Which would be fine if that turns out to be true, which is by no means assured.
We are what we repeatedly do - Aristotle